Novorizontino 0-0 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.8
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.46/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.31
+24% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
25.0 Crosses 18.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
0-0
AWAY Coritiba
0.68 xG 0.84
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
272 Passes 243
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
11 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino and Coritiba played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Novorizontino at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Novorizontino had 51% of the ball to Coritiba's 49%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 0.68 to 0.84.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Coritiba?

Novorizontino 0-0 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 44%, draw 29%, Coritiba 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Novorizontino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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