Arjantin 3-0 Şili — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 6 Sep 2024

Arjantin
3-0 HT 0-0
Şili
📅06/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Arjantin vs Şili Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.34
Draw
30%
4.19
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.75
No
62%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.42
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 35% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
24.85
X/1
17%
3.13
X/2
5%
19.1
X/X
15%
5.23
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
6%
18.8
2/X
6%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-15.5pp
30%
Draw
21%
+9.0pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
32%
+5.4pp
62%
BTTS No
68%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arjantin v Şili — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arjantin EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Şili EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.55/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.84
-46% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
15.2 Crosses 12.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Arjantin vs Şili Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arjantin
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Şili
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.66 xG 0.57
50% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
368 Passes 343
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.06.2024 Şili Şili 0-1 HT 0-0 Arjantin Arjantin AKU
28.01.2022 Şili Şili 1-2 HT 1-2 Arjantin Arjantin DKE
15.06.2021 Arjantin Arjantin 1-1 HT 1-0 Şili Şili AKU
04.06.2021 Arjantin Arjantin 1-1 HT 1-1 Şili Şili DKE
06.09.2019 Arjantin Arjantin 0-0 HT 0-0 Şili Şili HAZ
06.09.2019 Şili Şili 0-0 HT 0-0 Arjantin Arjantin HAZTUR

Arjantin 3-0 Şili — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arjantin
3-0
AWAY Şili
1.03 xG 0.14
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
576 Passes 258
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 6
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arjantin vs Şili
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin swept aside Şili 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arjantin as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Arjantin had 65% of the ball to Şili's 35%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.03 to 0.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arjantin had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Arjantin and 0.50 for Şili.

What was the final score of Arjantin vs Şili?

Arjantin 3-0 Şili in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arjantin vs Şili?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arjantin win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Arjantin 55%, draw 30%, Şili 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arjantin), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arjantin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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