Şili vs Arjantin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Şili v Arjantin — Team-Based Signals
Şili vs Arjantin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Arjantin
DKE
1-1
HT 1-0
Şili
AKU
1-1
HT 1-1
Şili
DKE
0-0
HT 0-0
Arjantin
HAZTUR
0-0
HT 0-0
Şili
HAZ
2-1
HT 2-0
Şili
AKU
Şili 0-1 Arjantin — Actual Match Statistics
Arjantin edged past Şili 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Arjantin as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Şili had 39% of the ball to Arjantin's 61%, shots finished 3-22, expected goals 0.12 to 2.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Arjantin's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arjantin led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Şili and 1.00 for Arjantin.
What was the final score of Şili vs Arjantin?
Şili 0-1 Arjantin in the Copa America on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Şili vs Arjantin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arjantin win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Şili 21%, draw 23%, Arjantin 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arjantin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.