Şili vs Arjantin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Şili v Arjantin — Team-Based Signals
Şili vs Arjantin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Şili 0-1 Arjantin — Actual Match Statistics
Arjantin found just enough to beat Şili 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arjantin as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Şili had 39% of the ball to Arjantin's 61%, shots finished 3-22, expected goals 0.12 to 2.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Arjantin's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arjantin led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Şili and 1.00 for Arjantin.
Şili vs Arjantin Result & Final Score
Şili 0 - 1 Arjantin in the Copa America on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Şili vs Arjantin Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Arjantin win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Şili 13%, draw 22%, Arjantin 65%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arjantin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.