Peru 0-1 Kanada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa America, 26 Jun 2024

Peru
0-1 HT 0-0
Kanada
📅26/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.08
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.9
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.25
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
9%
6.46
X/2
10%
4.48
X/X
17%
3.86
2/1
5%
42.5
2/2
27%
3.15
2/X
9%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
29%
-4.7pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peru EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kanada EU Bookmakers 46%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peru
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kanada
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
05.09.2010 Kanada Kanada 0-2 HT 0-0 Peru Peru HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peru
0-1
AWAY Kanada
0.81 xG 1.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
251 Passes 282
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peru vs Kanada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada nicked a narrow win over Peru 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kanada as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Peru had 49% of the ball to Kanada's 51%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.81 to 1.78.

What was the final score of Peru vs Kanada?

Peru 0-1 Kanada in the Copa America on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peru vs Kanada?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kanada win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Peru 24%, draw 32%, Kanada 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanada), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kanada) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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