Flint Mountain 4-4 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Sep 2024

Flint Mountain
4-4 HT 3-1
Denbigh Town
📅06/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Flint Mountain vs Denbigh Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.17
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.32
No
40%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.4pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.5pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Flint Mountain v Denbigh Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Mountain EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 36%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.07
+3% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Flint Mountain vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Mountain and Denbigh Town shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Flint Mountain at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Flint Mountain vs Denbigh Town?

Flint Mountain 4-4 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Mountain vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flint Mountain win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Flint Mountain 46%, draw 20%, Denbigh Town 34%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Flint Mountain) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flint Mountain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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