Ruthin Town 4-0 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.96
Over 2.5
70%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.43
No
33%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.8pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.4pp
30%
Under 2.5
30%
-0.2pp
70%
Over 2.5
70%
+0.2pp
67%
BTTS Yes
66%
+1.4pp
33%
BTTS No
34%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
2.80/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.52
+41% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruthin Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
29.03.2024 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
11.08.2023 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
18.02.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
29.08.2022 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
26.03.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
22.10.2021 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ruthin Town vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruthin Town ran out comfortable winners over Gresford Athletic 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ruthin Town as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (70%) landed while both teams to score (67%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ruthin Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ruthin Town and 0.83 for Gresford Athletic.

What was the final score of Ruthin Town vs Gresford Athletic?

Ruthin Town 4-0 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruthin Town vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruthin Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ruthin Town 53%, draw 21%, Gresford Athletic 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ruthin Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ruthin Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
6 Sep 2024
21:45 Flint Mountain vs Denbigh Town Analysis →