Gresford Athletic 1-2 Ruthin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.96
Over 2.5
43%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
30%
+26.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
70%
-26.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.09/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.68
+9% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gresford Athletic
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Ruthin Town
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.08.2023 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
18.02.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
29.08.2022 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
26.03.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
22.10.2021 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Gresford Athletic vs Ruthin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruthin Town nicked a narrow win over Gresford Athletic 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Ruthin Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Gresford Athletic and 1.00 for Ruthin Town.

What was the final score of Gresford Athletic vs Ruthin Town?

Gresford Athletic 1-2 Ruthin Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gresford Athletic vs Ruthin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gresford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gresford Athletic 40%, draw 30%, Ruthin Town 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gresford Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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