Ammanford 1-1 Caerau (Ely) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 29 Mar 2024

Ammanford
1-1 HT 1-0
Caerau (Ely)
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Ammanford vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.17
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.33
No
47%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
71%
-18.0pp
47%
BTTS No
29%
+18.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ammanford v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.98/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.41
+46% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ammanford vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Caerau (Ely)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 1-2 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Caerau (Ely)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford and Caerau (Ely) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ammanford at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Caerau (Ely)?

Ammanford 1-1 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Caerau (Ely)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 48%, draw 21%, Caerau (Ely) 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ammanford), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ammanford) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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