Mold Alexandra 2-1 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 29 Mar 2024

Mold Alexandra
2-1 HT 0-1
Caersws
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Mold Alexandra vs Caersws Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
28%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.98
Over 2.5
45%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
63%
-18.3pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
27%
Away Win
14%
+13.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
30%
+25.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
70%
-25.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mold Alexandra v Caersws — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 17%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.26/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.50
+0% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +45%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
439 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mold Alexandra vs Caersws Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mold Alexandra
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Caersws
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Caersws Caersws 4-0 HT 4-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Mold Alexandra vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mold Alexandra squeezed past Caersws 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mold Alexandra as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Caersws?

Mold Alexandra 2-1 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 44%, draw 28%, Caersws 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mold Alexandra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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