Carmarthen Town 3-0 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.61
Over 2.5
64%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.49
No
34%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.4pp
66%
BTTS Yes
63%
+2.5pp
34%
BTTS No
37%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.30/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/2.68
+2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12.08.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 0-1 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
28.01.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 4-3 HT 2-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
22.10.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 3-5 HT 2-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
29.01.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town cruised past Cwmbran Celtic 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carmarthen Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (66%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.50 for Cwmbran Celtic.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Carmarthen Town 3-0 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 48%, draw 22%, Cwmbran Celtic 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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