Baglan Dragons 0-0 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 29 Mar 2024

Baglan Dragons
0-0
Llantwit Major
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baglan Dragons v Llantwit Major — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 40%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.98/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.45
+6% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 5.0

Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baglan Dragons
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Llantwit Major
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Llantwit Major 1-4 HT 1-2 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons and Llantwit Major played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Baglan Dragons at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major?

Baglan Dragons 0-0 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baglan Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 41%, draw 28%, Llantwit Major 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Baglan Dragons), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baglan Dragons) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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