Nieciecza 1-2 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.56
No
54%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.7pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 40%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
0.00/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-100% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -53%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Korona Kielce
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2021 Nieciecza Nieciecza 6-2 HT 3-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL1
30.09.2020 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-3 HT 0-2 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
11.02.2018 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-3 HT 0-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
26.08.2017 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-1 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
22.05.2017 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-2 HT 0-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
22.04.2017 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-1 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
1-2
AWAY Korona Kielce
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Korona Kielce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korona Kielce edged past Nieciecza 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nieciecza at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nieciecza had 49% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 51%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nieciecza and 1.50 for Korona Kielce.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Korona Kielce?

Nieciecza 1-2 Korona Kielce in the Friendlies on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Korona Kielce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 43%, draw 26%, Korona Kielce 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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