Vaduz 1-0 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Sep 2024

Vaduz
1-0 HT 1-0
Luzern
📅06/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Vaduz vs Luzern Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.43
Over 2.5
47%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
5.2
2-3 Goals
43%
1.97
4-5 Goals
23%
2.72
6+ Goals
10%
6.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.2 — our 24% vs market 14.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.4pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vaduz v Luzern — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaduz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 55%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
0.68/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
-47% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +147% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Vaduz vs Luzern Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Luzern
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.18 xG 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
333 Passes 306
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.05.2021 Vaduz Vaduz 1-2 HT 1-2 Luzern Luzern İSV
24.02.2021 Vaduz Vaduz 1-1 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
14.02.2021 Luzern Luzern 4-0 HT 2-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV
21.11.2020 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV
30.06.2018 Luzern Luzern 0-0 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz HAZ
28.05.2017 Luzern Luzern 2-2 HT 1-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV

Vaduz 1-0 Luzern — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
1-0
AWAY Luzern
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Vaduz vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz edged past Luzern 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Luzern at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vaduz had 49% of the ball to Luzern's 51%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vaduz and 1.67 for Luzern.

What was the final score of Vaduz vs Luzern?

Vaduz 1-0 Luzern in the Friendlies on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 25%, draw 28%, Luzern 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Luzern), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luzern) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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