Aluminij 2-1 Krka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
35%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.61
No
57%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-10.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+11.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.2pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Krka EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.30/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.29
-18% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Krka
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.11.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 0-0 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
2-1
AWAY Krka
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Krka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij edged past Krka 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aluminij as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aluminij had 57% of the ball to Krka's 43%, shots finished 24-8.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Krka?

Aluminij 2-1 Krka in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Krka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 42%, draw 23%, Krka 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminij) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aluminij) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN2 More Slovenia - 2.SNL
6 Sep 2024
18:00 Rudar Velenje vs Triglav Analysis →
18:15 Tabor Sezana vs Gorica Analysis →