Rudar Velenje 2-2 Triglav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Triglav EU Bookmakers 46%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.79/2.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.04
-43% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
231 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudar Velenje
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Triglav
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-2 HT 0-2 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
14.04.2023 Triglav Triglav 1-2 HT 1-1 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
02.10.2022 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-2 HT 0-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
15.04.2022 Triglav Triglav 2-0 HT 1-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
26.06.2020 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-1 HT 0-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN
22.02.2020 Triglav Triglav 3-0 HT 1-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudar Velenje
2-2
AWAY Triglav
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rudar Velenje vs Triglav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rudar Velenje and Triglav couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Triglav at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rudar Velenje had 38% of the ball to Triglav's 62%, shots finished 14-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triglav led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Rudar Velenje and 1.83 for Triglav.

What was the final score of Rudar Velenje vs Triglav?

Rudar Velenje 2-2 Triglav in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudar Velenje vs Triglav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rudar Velenje 31%, draw 26%, Triglav 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Triglav) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triglav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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