Barwell 1-1 Needham Market — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
25%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
48%
Away Win
43%
+4.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Needham Market EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.40/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.22
+2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
260 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Needham Market
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Needham Market Needham Market 2-1 HT 2-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
02.12.2023 Barwell Barwell 1-2 HT 1-1 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
22.04.2023 Barwell Barwell 2-0 HT 0-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
04.04.2023 Needham Market Needham Market 1-2 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
11.12.2021 Barwell Barwell 2-3 HT 0-2 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
02.10.2021 Needham Market Needham Market 2-2 HT 1-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barwell
1-1
AWAY Needham Market
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barwell vs Needham Market
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell and Needham Market couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Needham Market at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Barwell had 48% of the ball to Needham Market's 52%, shots finished 5-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Needham Market led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Barwell and 1.67 for Needham Market.

What was the final score of Barwell vs Needham Market?

Barwell 1-1 Needham Market in the England - Non League Premier on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs Needham Market?

Before kick-off our model rated an Needham Market win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Barwell 28%, draw 24%, Needham Market 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Needham Market), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Needham Market) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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