Needham Market 2-1 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Mar 2024

Needham Market
2-1 HT 2-0
Barwell
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Needham Market vs Barwell Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-8.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Needham Market v Barwell — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
2.62/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.98
+28% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0

Needham Market vs Barwell Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Needham Market
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Barwell
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Barwell Barwell 1-2 HT 1-1 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
22.04.2023 Barwell Barwell 2-0 HT 0-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
04.04.2023 Needham Market Needham Market 1-2 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
11.12.2021 Barwell Barwell 2-3 HT 0-2 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
02.10.2021 Needham Market Needham Market 2-2 HT 1-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Needham Market nicked a narrow win over Barwell 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Needham Market as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Needham Market and 1.80 for Barwell.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Barwell?

Needham Market 2-1 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Needham Market win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 52%, draw 24%, Barwell 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Needham Market), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Needham Market) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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