Estudiantes Caseros 2-0 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.53
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-2.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.7pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.46/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.06
+9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
389 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
05.05.2025 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
08.05.2022 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
12.11.2021 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
18.07.2021 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-1 HT 1-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
09.11.2019 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
18.02.2014 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-2 HT 0-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros saw off Nueva Chicago 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Estudiantes Caseros as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nueva Chicago led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 1.17 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Nueva Chicago?

Estudiantes Caseros 2-0 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 56%, draw 29%, Nueva Chicago 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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