06/09/2025
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Horsholm-Usserod vs Holbaek Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
25%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
25%
Draw
26%
48%
Away Win
44%
52%
Under 2.5
48%
48%
Over 2.5
52%
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
46%
BTTS No
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Horsholm-Usserod v Holbaek — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Horsholm-Usserod
EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY
Holbaek
EU Bookmakers 48%
+32% /
+32%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+44% /
+44%
2.99/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.51/0.51
+117%
/
+48%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-9%
/
+150%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
394 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
345 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Horsholm-Usserod vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Holbaek cruised past Horsholm-Usserod 4-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Holbaek as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of Horsholm-Usserod vs Holbaek?
Horsholm-Usserod 0-4 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Horsholm-Usserod vs Holbaek?
Before kick-off our model rated an Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Horsholm-Usserod 27%, draw 25%, Holbaek 48%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holbaek) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Holbaek)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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