Naesby 3-1 Sundby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
16%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.6pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.7pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sundby EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.48/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.85
+40% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sundby
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Sundby 0-3 Naesby Naesby DAN3
12.10.2024 Naesby Naesby 0-2 Sundby DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naesby
3-1
AWAY Sundby
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Sundby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby beat Sundby 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Naesby as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Naesby had 49% of the ball to Sundby's 51%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Naesby and 1.00 for Sundby.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Sundby?

Naesby 3-1 Sundby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Sundby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Naesby 55%, draw 18%, Sundby 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naesby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naesby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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