FC Nantes (K) 2-1 Saint-Étienne (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.66
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.68
No
36%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
56%
-14.3pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
56%
+8.8pp
36%
BTTS No
44%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nantes (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -54%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
366 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.9
Crosses 15.4
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nantes (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.85 xG 0.95
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
341 Passes 212
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Nantes (K) FC Nantes (K) FRK1
28.09.2024 FC Nantes (K) FC Nantes (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nantes (K)
2-1
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
1.57 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
282 Passes 206
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 12
6 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Nantes (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nantes (K) squeezed past Saint-Étienne (K) 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Nantes (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Nantes (K) had 54% of the ball to Saint-Étienne (K)'s 46%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.57 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Saint-Étienne (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Nantes (K) and 1.50 for Saint-Étienne (K).

What was the final score of FC Nantes (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

FC Nantes (K) 2-1 Saint-Étienne (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nantes (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nantes (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Nantes (K) 42%, draw 31%, Saint-Étienne (K) 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nantes (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Nantes (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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