Cardiff Draconians 3-1 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Sep 2025

Cardiff Draconians
3-1 HT 1-0
Aberystwyth Town
📅06/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.07
Over
48%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.64
No
46%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
39%
4-5
27%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Cardiff Draconians v Aberystwyth Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff Draconians The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town The Market 54%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
– Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better –
– Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better –
Bad Attackvs comparable teams –
Great Defensevs comparable teams –
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
REVIEW Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth Town
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cardiff Draconians took care of Aberystwyth Town 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aberystwyth Town at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The market had leaned harder still (1.87, ~53%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 54%. At 1.72 (~58%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth Town Result & Final Score

Cardiff Draconians 3-1 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Aberystwyth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cardiff Draconians 22%, draw 31%, Aberystwyth Town 47%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aberystwyth Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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