Holyhead Hotspur FC 1-1 Penrhyncoch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
14%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
55%
Away Win
53%
+2.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holyhead Hotspur FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 57%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -67% / -67%
0.80/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
-47% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -75%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
274 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holyhead Hotspur FC
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Penrhyncoch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.03.2023 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
28.01.2023 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 2-1 HT 2-0 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC GALFAW
12.03.2022 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 0-1 HT 1-0 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC GALFAW
02.10.2021 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Penrhyncoch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holyhead Hotspur FC and Penrhyncoch shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Penrhyncoch at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Holyhead Hotspur FC and 1.00 for Penrhyncoch.

What was the final score of Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Penrhyncoch?

Holyhead Hotspur FC 1-1 Penrhyncoch in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Penrhyncoch?

Before kick-off our model rated an Penrhyncoch win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Holyhead Hotspur FC 22%, draw 23%, Penrhyncoch 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Penrhyncoch), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penrhyncoch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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