Baglan Dragons 1-1 Trefelin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Trefelin EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.64/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.40
+5% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baglan Dragons
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Trefelin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
26.12.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 1-2 HT 1-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
26.08.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 2-0 HT 1-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
24.02.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 1-1 HT 1-1 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
25.11.2023 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 4-1 HT 0-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Trefelin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons and Trefelin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Trefelin led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Baglan Dragons and 1.50 for Trefelin.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Trefelin?

Baglan Dragons 1-1 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Trefelin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 35%, draw 26%, Trefelin 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trefelin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trefelin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
6 Sep 2025
16:30 Guilsfield vs Airbus UK Analysis →
16:30 Flint Mountain vs Brickfield Rangers Analysis →
16:30 Llandudno FC vs Newtown Analysis →
16:30 Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Penrhyncoch Analysis →
16:30 Ynyshir Albions vs Afan Lido Analysis →
16:30 Llantwit Major vs Trethomas Bluebirds Analysis →