Baglan Dragons vs Trefelin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Baglan Dragons v Trefelin — Team-Based Signals
Baglan Dragons vs Trefelin Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-1
HT 0-0
Trefelin
GALFAW
Trefelin edged past Baglan Dragons 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Trefelin made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Baglan Dragons and 1.33 for Trefelin.
What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Trefelin?
Baglan Dragons 1-2 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Trefelin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 31%, draw 28%, Trefelin 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.