Denbigh Town 2-2 Ruthin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.31
No
37%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.5pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.5pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
4.65/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.00
+121% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ruthin Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
01.01.2024 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
26.12.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Ruthin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town and Ruthin Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Denbigh Town at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Denbigh Town and 2.50 for Ruthin Town.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Ruthin Town?

Denbigh Town 2-2 Ruthin Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Ruthin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 47%, draw 28%, Ruthin Town 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Denbigh Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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