01/01/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
43%
19%
Draw
24%
32%
Away Win
33%
63%
BTTS Yes
71%
37%
BTTS No
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ruthin Town v Denbigh Town — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ruthin Town
EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
Denbigh Town
EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% /
+1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+1% /
+1%
1.96/1.31
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.47/1.05
-1%
/
+10%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-70%
/
+61%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
4
8
Corners
6
385 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
365 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ruthin Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Denbigh Town
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
26.12.2023
Denbigh Town
2-1
HT 0-1
Ruthin Town
GALFAW
2-1
HT 0-1
Ruthin Town
GALFAW
POST-MATCH
Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ruthin Town swept aside Denbigh Town 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ruthin Town as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.
What was the final score of Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town?
Ruthin Town 4-0 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ruthin Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ruthin Town 49%, draw 19%, Denbigh Town 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ruthin Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ruthin Town)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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GALFAW
More Wales - FAW Championship
1 Jan 2024