Gresford Athletic 0-3 Airbus UK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.4pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Airbus UK EU Bookmakers 62%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.12/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/1.10
-19% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gresford Athletic
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Airbus UK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
26.12.2023 Airbus UK Airbus UK 0-0 HT 0-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
15.04.2022 Airbus UK Airbus UK 4-2 HT 2-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Gresford Athletic vs Airbus UK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airbus UK cruised past Gresford Athletic 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Airbus UK as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Airbus UK led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gresford Athletic and 2.00 for Airbus UK.

What was the final score of Gresford Athletic vs Airbus UK?

Gresford Athletic 0-3 Airbus UK in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gresford Athletic vs Airbus UK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Airbus UK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gresford Athletic 23%, draw 28%, Airbus UK 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Airbus UK) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Airbus UK) ✗ BTTS Yes
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