Bangor 1876 4-1 Porthmadog — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.75
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.38
No
54%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
53%
+5.4pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.0pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
68%
-22.3pp
54%
BTTS No
32%
+22.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangor 1876 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Porthmadog EU Bookmakers 28%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.00/3.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/2.16
-53% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
445 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangor 1876
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Porthmadog
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26.12.2023 Porthmadog Porthmadog 0-4 HT 0-1 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 GALFAW
POST-MATCH Bangor 1876 vs Porthmadog
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangor 1876 swept aside Porthmadog 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bangor 1876 as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Bangor 1876 vs Porthmadog?

Bangor 1876 4-1 Porthmadog in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangor 1876 vs Porthmadog?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangor 1876 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Bangor 1876 59%, draw 19%, Porthmadog 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangor 1876), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bangor 1876) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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