Cambuur 2-2 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 6 Sep 2025

Cambuur
2-2 HT 0-1
Willem II
📅06/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Cambuur vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.13
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
15%
4.23
X/2
10%
9.29
X/X
12%
5.74
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.7
2/2
7%
7.01
2/X
4%
15.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.7 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Cambuur win — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+0.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cambuur v Willem II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.82/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.41
-2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.7 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Cambuur vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Willem II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
298 Passes 283
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.02.2024 Willem II Willem II 1-1 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
17.09.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 1-0 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
11.05.2022 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
10.12.2021 Willem II Willem II 1-3 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
21.04.2016 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 1-1 Willem II Willem II HOL
06.12.2015 Willem II Willem II 3-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL

Cambuur 2-2 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
2-2
AWAY Willem II
4.09 xG 0.80
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
451 Passes 270
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
47 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs Willem II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur and Willem II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Cambuur carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cambuur had 61% of the ball to Willem II's 39%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 4.09 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cambuur and 1.17 for Willem II.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs Willem II?

Cambuur 2-2 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 57%, draw 22%, Willem II 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambuur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →