PSV Eindhoven (K) 1-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.11
Draw
12%
8.78
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.88
No
41%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
2%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
85%
-9.4pp
12%
Draw
8%
+3.9pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
49%
+10.1pp
41%
BTTS No
51%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.29/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/3.38
+16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
510 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 80%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.6 Crosses 9.7
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
69% Ball Possession 31%
22 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
453 Passes 178
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
34 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
18.01.2025 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) 4-0 HT 3-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
02.11.2024 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 0-4 HT 0-4 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1
05.11.2023 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K)
1-0
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
69% Ball Possession 31%
22 Total Shots 0
12 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 0
483 Passes 161
83% Pass Accuracy 61%
32 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven (K) edged past Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PSV Eindhoven (K) as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven (K) had 69% of the ball to Excelsior Barendrecht (K)'s 31%, shots finished 22-0.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for PSV Eindhoven (K) and 0.33 for Excelsior Barendrecht (K).

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

PSV Eindhoven (K) 1-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven (K) 76%, draw 12%, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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