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Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) v Omiya Ardija (K) — Team-Based Signals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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1-2
HT 0-2
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
JWEL
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 3-4 Omiya Ardija (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Omiya Ardija (K) edged past Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had 64% of the ball to Omiya Ardija (K)'s 36%, shots finished 16-10.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) and 0.33 for Omiya Ardija (K).
What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 3-4 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 61%, draw 23%, Omiya Ardija (K) 16%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.