AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-3 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.09
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.78
Over 2.5
57%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.81
No
40%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+5.9pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.2pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.38/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/3.07
+23% / +143% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -69%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.04.2025 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 4-1 HT 1-1 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
17.11.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 2-2 HT 2-1 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
19.05.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
10.03.2024 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
1-3
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nojima Stella (K) saw off AS Elfen Saitama (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was AS Elfen Saitama (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, AS Elfen Saitama (K) had 51% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 49%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, AS Elfen Saitama (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for AS Elfen Saitama (K) and 1.50 for Nojima Stella (K).

What was the final score of AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-3 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Elfen Saitama (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AS Elfen Saitama (K) 50%, draw 20%, Nojima Stella (K) 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AS Elfen Saitama (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Elfen Saitama (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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