AS Elfen Saitama (K) 4-1 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
43%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
2.32/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+150% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -66%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
17.11.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 2-2 HT 2-1 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
19.05.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
10.03.2024 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
4-1
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 18
12 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Elfen Saitama (K) cruised past Nojima Stella (K) 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nojima Stella (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, AS Elfen Saitama (K) had 57% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 43%, shots finished 22-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AS Elfen Saitama (K) and 1.67 for Nojima Stella (K).

What was the final score of AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

AS Elfen Saitama (K) 4-1 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nojima Stella (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AS Elfen Saitama (K) 34%, draw 23%, Nojima Stella (K) 43%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nojima Stella (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nojima Stella (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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