INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 3-1 Omiya Ardija (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.28
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.8
Over 2.5
58%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.75
No
54%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
75%
-6.2pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.7pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+5.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
52%
-9.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
48%
+9.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+13.6pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.50/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/3.71
+8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -42%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
25.05.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
POST-MATCH INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) saw off Omiya Ardija (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) and 0.00 for Omiya Ardija (K).

What was the final score of INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 3-1 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 69%, draw 19%, Omiya Ardija (K) 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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