Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.18
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
60%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
3%
X/2
37%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
12%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
60%
Away Win
67%
-7.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.7pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 71%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.00/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.49
-100% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +14%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
25.05.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
0-1
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) edged past Omiya Ardija (K) 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Omiya Ardija (K) had 41% of the ball to INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)'s 59%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)?

Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija (K) 16%, draw 24%, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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