Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
29%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
23%
-3.9pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.00/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.49
-100% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
234 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
25.05.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
20.03.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) ran out comfortable winners over Cerezo Osaka (K) 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Cerezo Osaka (K) and 1.50 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K).

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka (K) 19%, draw 31%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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