Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-1 Mynavi Sendai (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+9.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mynavi Sendai (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.68/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.25
+58% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Mynavi Sendai (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-2 HT 0-0 Mynavi Sendai (K) Mynavi Sendai (K) JWEL
09.03.2024 Mynavi Sendai (K) Mynavi Sendai (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano (K) squeezed past Mynavi Sendai (K) 2-1.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Parceiro Nagano (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Parceiro Nagano (K) and 1.50 for Mynavi Sendai (K).

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)?

Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-1 Mynavi Sendai (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano (K) 41%, draw 23%, Mynavi Sendai (K) 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parceiro Nagano (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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