Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-2 Mynavi Sendai (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.3pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mynavi Sendai (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.52
+22% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mynavi Sendai (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Mynavi Sendai (K) Mynavi Sendai (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
2-2
AWAY Mynavi Sendai (K)
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano (K) and Mynavi Sendai (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Parceiro Nagano (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano (K) had 49% of the ball to Mynavi Sendai (K)'s 51%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)?

Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-2 Mynavi Sendai (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano (K) 50%, draw 24%, Mynavi Sendai (K) 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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