AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-2 Albirex Niigata (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
39%
2.83
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
26%
X/X
27%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-1.2pp
38%
Draw
32%
+6.6pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.6pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.03.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
1-2
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) nicked a narrow win over AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (24% / 38% / 37%) promised a tight game; Albirex Niigata (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Elfen Saitama (K) had 43% of the ball to Albirex Niigata (K)'s 57%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-2 Albirex Niigata (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AS Elfen Saitama (K) 24%, draw 38%, Albirex Niigata (K) 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JWEL More Japan - WE League Women's
18 Apr 2024
11:00 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Nojima Stella (K) Analysis →
12:00 Omiya Ardija (K) vs Urawa Red (K) Analysis →
13:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) Analysis →
13:00 JEF United (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K) Analysis →
13:00 Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K) Analysis →