Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +59% / +59%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +101% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) nicked a narrow win over AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Albirex Niigata (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata (K) 43%, draw 27%, AS Elfen Saitama (K) 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) ✓ Under 2.5
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