Nojima Stella (K) 0-5 Urawa Red (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
9.57
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
65%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Urawa Red (K) win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
8%
+5.6pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.0pp
65%
Away Win
76%
-10.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.6pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
-100% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
226 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Nojima Stella (K) vs Urawa Red (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red (K) swept aside Nojima Stella (K) 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Urawa Red (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Nojima Stella (K) vs Urawa Red (K)?

Nojima Stella (K) 0-5 Urawa Red (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nojima Stella (K) vs Urawa Red (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Nojima Stella (K) 13%, draw 22%, Urawa Red (K) 65%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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