Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 1-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
31%
4.62
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.18
Over 2.5
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-13.8pp
31%
Draw
19%
+12.5pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) and Cerezo Osaka (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 1-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 55%, draw 31%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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