Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-2 Omiya Ardija (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
38%
3.04
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.6pp
38%
Draw
29%
+8.9pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-4.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija (K) nicked a narrow win over Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 38% / 25% — and on the day Omiya Ardija (K) made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-2 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano (K) 37%, draw 38%, Omiya Ardija (K) 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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