Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-2 Mynavi Sendai (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mynavi Sendai (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) and Mynavi Sendai (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-2 Mynavi Sendai (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 44%, draw 28%, Mynavi Sendai (K) 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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