Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 3-1 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.15
Over 2.5
62%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.33
No
50%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
13%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
2%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
76%
-12.6pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.4pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
43%
-4.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
57%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
39%
+11.2pp
50%
BTTS No
61%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.54/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.66
-19% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -2%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
468 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 11
12 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
03.03.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
3-1
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
64% Ball Possession 36%
30 Total Shots 9
14 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) saw off Nojima Stella (K) 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had 64% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 36%, shots finished 30-9.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 3-1 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 63%, draw 20%, Nojima Stella (K) 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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