Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.67/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.49
+49% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +91%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
20.03.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1-0
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) squeezed past Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had 49% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 51%, shots finished 15-4.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 49%, draw 27%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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