JEF United (K) 1-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.00/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.01
+25% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United (K)
1-0
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K)
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH JEF United (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United (K) edged past AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JEF United (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, JEF United (K) had 54% of the ball to AS Elfen Saitama (K)'s 46%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of JEF United (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

JEF United (K) 1-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split JEF United (K) 42%, draw 27%, AS Elfen Saitama (K) 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JEF United (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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