Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-3 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.51/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+88% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -57%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
20.03.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
2-3
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nojima Stella (K) nicked a narrow win over Parceiro Nagano (K) 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Parceiro Nagano (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano (K) had 53% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 47%, shots finished 12-17.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-3 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano (K) 42%, draw 28%, Nojima Stella (K) 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Parceiro Nagano (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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