Nojima Stella (K) 1-1 Parceiro Nagano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.38
Over 2.5
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.7pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+4.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-5.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
1-1
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Nojima Stella (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nojima Stella (K) and Parceiro Nagano (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Parceiro Nagano (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Nojima Stella (K) had 50% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano (K)'s 50%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Nojima Stella (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Nojima Stella (K) 1-1 Parceiro Nagano (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nojima Stella (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Parceiro Nagano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nojima Stella (K) 28%, draw 30%, Parceiro Nagano (K) 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Parceiro Nagano (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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